| THE 
          REVOLUTION IN PHOTO MARKETINGPART ONE - THE ROSY VIEW
 A lot of the stuff 
          in the telecommunications and dot.com world has not quite worked out 
          the way the experts thought they would.
 Phone companies who were supposed to be the kings of the mountain realized 
          too late that they were planting far too many miles of fiber optics, 
          and they would be caught in a vicious pricing squeeze. WorldCom, which 
          owns MCI, is the latest to find themselves facing bankruptcy. The biggest 
          dot.com of them all, AOL is headed south big time, with the greatest 
          quarterly loss in business history, and is dragging the once proud Time 
          Warner down with it.
 
 One industry however is booming, and prospects are looking better all 
          the time. Some camera manufacturers such as Canon had record profits 
          last year. Other companies, long famous for their computer and copier 
          products are now salivating as they survey the future for imaging.
 
 The reason is that there has been a little-noticed paradigm shift in 
          who buys cameras and why. Historically, there been two kinds of buyers 
          for these products. The first, and by far the biggest sector was in 
          the consumer market. Millions upon millions of people around the world 
          have some sort of simple camera. Most of them will take the camera out 
          of a drawer on special occasions or on trips, and take a roll of film, 
          which gets sent to the drug store for processing. Unfortunately for 
          film manufacturers less and less of these camera owners buy film. Which 
          is why the Great Yellow Father In Rochester, Eastman Kodak has seen 
          its fortunes decline.
 
 The second group, far smaller, but increasingly profitable is the advanced 
          amateur and professional market. Manufacturers aim their flagship products 
          at them. The differences in prices between the two markets are in terms 
          of thousands of dollars.
 
 If you were to look at the histories of these high-end buyers, you would 
          probably discover a common factor in their development. In most cases, 
          at some point these people got a darkroom outfit, and learned to process 
          and print their own pictures. The smell of Dektol and hypo got into 
          their psyches. They had learned the photographic magic. No runs to the 
          drugstore or photomax for them.
 
 In the 1990s, digital cameras came to the market. Suddenly many of these 
          former film users realized that with the help of their computers, they 
          could in effect, create their own darkrooms. The World Wide Web made 
          it possible to send these photographs to family, friends, and even clients 
          around the world. Personal web sites began to flourish as individuals 
          discovered that they could self-publish their work. As a result, what 
          had previously been a low-priced market sector blew the lid off. Once 
          they could produce their own finished photographs on their desktops, 
          amateurs suddenly became conscious of what higher-priced cameras could 
          accomplish.
 
 At about the same time that digital became available; video began to 
          flex its consumer muscles. Features that had previously only been available 
          on expensive broadcast cameras started to appear in prosumer lines. 
          Just as with stills, the computer now became an edit bay. Workshops 
          have proliferated as the average person began to produce their own simple 
          movies with edits that looked like they were done by network news. As 
          these cameras got into more hands, millions of future Stephen Speilbergs 
          began to produce movies.
 
 The next generation of technology will now start to merge still and 
          video into one camera. Sigma has already introduced the first consumer 
          camera that uses the revolutionary Foveon chip, which is capable of 
          producing high-resolution still and video. Other manufacturers are racing 
          to get into this ball game.
 
 Ten years ago, The New York Times reported that by the turn of the century, 
          the average home would include over $5,000 worth of High Fidelity equipment. 
          At the time, when the average person didn't know a tweeter from a woofer, 
          this idea seemed absurd. Yet today, it would be hard to find a block 
          without a home-theatre. Living rooms have been turned into small Radio 
          City Music Halls. Up until the 90s, the average family had three major 
          expenditures. Their home, their car, and their children's education. 
          Today, audio and video have provided another addition to the family 
          budget.
 
 Camera company executives now understand that photography is about to 
          enter this new holy ground. The big question is how many of them will 
          be able to survive the evolution?
 
 Next month we will take a look at the challenges facing this industry.
 
 Copyright © 2002 The Digital Journalist
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